附属第一医院急诊科,广东,广州,510080
网络首发:2018-01-10,
纸质出版:2018
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黄振华, 廖瑾莉, 肖孝勇, 等. GRACE评分对急性胸痛患者30 d心血管不良事件的预测价值[J]. 中山大学学报(医学科学版), 2018,39(1).
Effect of GRACE Scores on Prediction of 30-day Cardiovascular Adverse Events in Patients with Acute Chest Pain[J]. Journal of Sun Yat-sen University (Medical Sciences), 2018, 39(1).
: 【目的】评价GRACE评分对急诊科急性胸痛患者30 d心血管不良事件(MACE)的预测价值。【方法】 使用前瞻性观察研究的方法纳入 2016 年1月1日至 2016 年4月1日在我院急诊科首诊急性胸痛的患者,记录患 者临床基本资料,完成GRACE评分的计算 ,并对入组的患者进行30 d MACE的随访。【结果】入选209例患者,男 性110例(52.63%),女性99例(47.37%),年龄范围20~98岁,平均年龄(65.28±16.85)岁。发生MACE 12例,其中 急诊死亡2例,住院期间死亡3例,出院后死亡6例,再发心肌梗死1例。与非MACE组相比,MACE组患者年龄, BMI,住院人数,CCU 住院例数、GRACE 评分均高于非 MACE 组患者,两组比较具有统计学差异(P<0.05); GRACE评分预测急性胸痛30 d MACE的ROC曲线下面积(95% CI)为0.819(0.735 -0.902),最佳敏感性为0.92, 特异性为0.65。不同GRACE评分危险分层中对30 d心血管不良事件概率分别为0.95%(低危)、6.67%(中危)、 18.92%(高危)。【结论】GRACE评分对急性胸痛患者30 d心血管不良事件具有良好的预测价值
【Objective】To investigate the effect of GRACE scores on prediction of 30-day cardiovascular adverse events in acute chest pain patients.【Methods】A prospective,observational analysis was conducted in the patients with acute chest pain in Emergency Department(ED)from January 1,2016 through April 1,2016. Data including characteris? tics and GRACE scores were collected. All causes leading to MACE were followed up at 30th day after the onset of acute chest pain.【Results】Among a total of 209 patients presenting with acute chest pain enrolled in this study,110 were male (52.63%)and 99 were female(47.37%). The range of age was 20-98years old,and mean age was(65.28±16.85)years old. During follow-up period,12 patients had MACE,2 patients died in ED,3 patients died in hospital,6 patients died out of hospital,and 1 person was diagnosed with myocardial infarction. When compared with non-MACE group,factors including age,BMI,hospitalized patient number,and number of patients admitted in CCU as well as GRACE scores, were significantly higher in MACE group(P<0.05). The predictive ROC curve area of GRACE scores in 30-day MACE was 0.819(0.735 to 0.902). The optimal sensitivity and specificity were 0.92 and 0.65,respectively. The probability of 30-day cardiovascular adverse events in various GRACE score risk stratification was 0.95%(low-risk),6.67%(medi? um-risk),and 18.92%(high-risk),respectively.【Conclusion】The GRACE score was a useful predictor to the occur? rence of 30-day cardiovascular adverse events in acute chest pain patients.
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